What Do the Polls Say About Elections in New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and California?

On Nov. 4, elections will be held in New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and California for a variety of public offices and referenda. Political observers have closely watched the races, which may be indicative of the country’s mood nearly 11 months into President Donald Trump’s second term. Polling across these races is usually watched as a predictor of the outcomes. Below, we list the standing of candidates and referenda in the final set of opinion polls taken before Election Day. New York In New York City, voters will be voting on a variety of local offices, though one among them—the mayoral election—has attracted outsized international attention. Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani, since his upset victory in the Democratic Primary on June 24, has been leading the polls....